The king of nickel is betting big on a green future in batteries

Tsingshan Holding Group Co. made numerous bold moves on its path to becoming the world鈥檚 largest nickel producer, but its new plan to supply carmakers with cheap, clean metal could be its biggest breakthrough yet.
The Chinese company shocked the nickel market twice this month by targeting two significant challenges for makers of electric vehicles and their batteries: first, getting enough nickel, and second, ensuring it鈥檚 delivered in a climate-friendly way.
Tesla Inc.鈥檚 Elon Musk has said nickel is the metal that concerns him most as he looks to scale up battery-cell production, and last year he promised a聽鈥済iant contract鈥澛爁or miners to encourage production. Without new sources of supply, the robust EV industry could face a critical shortage within a few years.
Teaming up with Tsingshan would appear to be an obvious choice for Tesla and rivals, but they aren鈥檛 just looking for cheap, abundant nickel — they want it to be green, too
鈥淵ou have, essentially, a market that will grow exponentially in size, but you don鈥檛 want to inhibit growth by running short of feed,鈥 said Michael Widmer, head of metals research at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. 鈥淲hat we鈥檙e seeing in nickel is Tsingshan trying to resolve those issues.鈥
Teaming up with Tsingshan would appear to be an obvious choice for Tesla and rivals, but they aren鈥檛 just looking for cheap, abundant nickel — they want it to be green, too. Nickel is a dirty industry, and Tsingshan鈥檚 rise was driven largely by its development of a low-cost production process that鈥檚 also extremely carbon-intensive.

Its vow to be greener dramatically demonstrates how the fight against climate change is forcing producers with poor environmental records to find new solutions for more discerning customers. Tsingshan鈥檚 financial might and history of innovation suggest that, within a few years, it may emerge as a top supplier of green nickel.
鈥淭singshan vigorously upholds and promotes energy conservation, emission reduction, and a low-carbon-footprint environment,鈥 the company said in a statement. 鈥淐lean energy produced will be used mainly to power the production of raw materials required for the batteries used in electric vehicles.鈥
Tsingshan also benefits from solid government support in Indonesia after helping transform the archipelago into a heartland of nickel and stainless-steel production. Now, officials there are courting investments from Tesla and other key players in the battery industry to make sure it plays a similarly critical role in the EV revolution.
The question is whether Tsingshan鈥檚 pivot will be sufficiently green to both unlock the investment and solve Tesla鈥檚 looming supply shortage. Tesla didn鈥檛 immediately respond to requests for comment.
Tsingshan鈥檚 announcements this month lengthen a list of commercial and technological breakthroughs that upended metals markets. The closely held company is owned by a husband-and-wife team, Xiang Guangda and He Xiuqin, and got its big break in the late 1980s with a business making frames for car doors and windows in China鈥檚 eastern city of Wenzhou.
Tsingshan is credited with pioneering the large-scale use of nickel pig iron, a semi-refined product and low-cost alternative to the pure metal, to make stainless steel.
Its also benefited from a decision to invest in Indonesia during the 2000s. At the time, the nation鈥檚 nickel reserves were unproven, making it a risky move. Now, Indonesia is the largest producer, and Tsingshan runs nickel pig-iron plants and a stainless-steel complex in Sulawesi.
In recent years, it鈥檚 been building plants that use acid to make nickel chemicals for batteries, but progress on that path has been slower than planned.
Tsingshan jolted the market earlier this month by saying it planned to make the battery-grade metal using an alternative process, refining it up from materials previously reserved only for stainless steel. Prices subsequently suffered their biggest two-day slump in a decade as investors factored in the additional supply, but there also were immediate concerns about the environmental impact of the process, which relies on vast amounts of coal-fired power.
鈥淭here are really big questions about how this process fits into global battery supply chains,鈥 Oliver Nugent, an analyst at Citigroup Inc., said by phone from London. 鈥淲ill ex-China automakers be willing to purchase this type of material?鈥

Tsingshan answered those concerns by vowing to operate its plants with solar, wind and hydropower.
To be sure, it鈥檚 likely to take a few years to build the solar and wind farms, and Tsingshan hasn鈥檛 said when the hydropower plant will come online. So, for now, its method remains a quick-but-dirty solution that buyers like Musk might balk at, and Tsingshan plans to sell the product in China, home to hundreds of EV makers.
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd., China鈥檚 top battery maker, declined to comment.
On their own, the solar and wind projects would be 鈥渇ar from enough to cover for emissions created by production, though a step in the right direction,鈥 said Sasja Beslik, the head of sustainable business development at Bank J. Safra Sarasin in Zurich. The hydropower project will be 鈥渂oth more expensive, and environmentally and socially more challenging.鈥
Weaning itself off coal and switching to more technically complex production also may raise overheads for Tsingshan, hurting its competitive edge. In addition, there are upfront costs to consider.
The average costs for new renewable-energy capacity in Indonesia suggest that the price tag for of building the wind and solar plant alone could be $2.9 billion, assuming an even split in capacity, according to BloombergNEF.
鈥淭his is not an extremely low-cost source of new supply, which is where you would fear a flood of the market,鈥 Daniel Hynes, senior commodity strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group, said by phone. 鈥淚t might now be available to meet the demand, but at what cost?鈥
Xiang is notorious for battering down costs, though. Nickel pig iron offered a radically cheaper option for making stainless steel, albeit with an immense carbon output.
The average costs for new renewable-energy capacity in Indonesia suggest that the price tag for of building the wind and solar plant alone could be $2.9 billion, assuming an even split in capacity
Producing 1 ton of nickel in nickel pig iron would create about 45 tons of carbon-dioxide emissions, according to an analysis by Citigroup. By comparison, steel requires an average of about 2 tons of carbon dioxide per ton of metal, while aluminum requires about 20 tons when coal is used.
Investing in a 2 gigawatt solar-and-wind farm and a 5 gigawatt hydropower plant could help Tsingshan significantly dent its carbon footprint. Together, they鈥檇 likely meet most of the power needs for the industrial complex underway in the Morowali region, said Colin Hamilton, managing director for commodities research at BMO Capital Markets.
Those efforts could prove critical for the EV supply chain. The energy transition comes amid a raft of zero-emissions pledges by nations and carbon-neutral commitments by automakers such as Volkswagen AG and BMW AG. Sales of passenger EVs surged 43% last year, and BNEF forecasts a record 4.4 million units being sold this year.
Fresh supplies of battery-grade nickel have ground to a halt in recent years as miners face a litany of commercial and technical setbacks. The only place where supply is growing meaningfully is Indonesia.
Figures from International Nickel Study Group put last year鈥檚 production at about 2.4 million tons. During the next decade, miners need to boost annual production by 1 million tons to meet demand from battery-makers, said Jim Lennon, a senior commodities consultant at Macquarie Securities in London.
鈥淚 can鈥檛 find 100,000 tons worth of projects that are seriously going to get off the ground outside of Indonesia,鈥 he said. 鈥淪o if it鈥檚 not Indonesia, it鈥檚 nowhere.鈥
(With assistance from聽Chunying Zhang)
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