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Kaz Minerals bidders up takeover bid to $5.5 billion

Bozshakol open pit mine in Kazakhstan. (Image courtesy of )

Nova Resources, the consortium bidding to take copper miner KAZ Minerals (LON: KAZ) private , after minority shareholders said they would reject earlier proposals for being too low.

Nova, which is controlled by KAZ chair Oleg Novachuk and billionaire Vladimir Kim, said it would pay 850 pence per share plus a special dividend, which lifts the total bid to 869p/share for the 61% of the mining company it doesn鈥檛 already own.

The fresh and final offer is up from a previous bid of 780p per share made in February and a first attempt made in October proposing 640p per share.

Commenting on the improved bid, Novachuk said Nova had listened to shareholders unhappy with the previous offers.

The fresh and final offer is up from a previous bid of 780p per share made in February and a first attempt in October at 640p per share

Copper is in high demand for use in renewable energy and electric vehicles, but new deposits are rare and increasingly difficult to recover.

鈥淐opper market dynamics have evolved since the announcement of the original offer in October 2020, and the final increased offer fully reflects this change,鈥 Novachuk added. 

Prices for the metal have shot up in the last six months, rising to a 10-year high of almost $9,500 a tonne before easing to about $8,680 on Thursday.

Click here for an interactive chart of copper prices

Analysts at Peel Hunt were not impressed by Nova鈥檚 increase, but wrote it would 鈥減robably mute the pressure for a further increase鈥 from investors.

鈥淭his increase feels similar to the last (the increase to 780p from 640p), in that it moves the offer to roughly where the share price is (840p as of Thursday鈥檚 close), rather than providing a knockout blow,鈥 the experts wrote.

World鈥檚 top copper prospect

KAZ Minerals bought the Baimskaya copper mine in eastern Russia in 2018 from a group of investors including Chelsea soccer club owner Roman Abramovich.

The company鈥檚 stock dived after announcing the acquisition, hit by investor concern over Russian political risk, even though the mine is regarded as one of the world鈥檚 most significant underdeveloped copper prospects.

Costs of developing the mine are estimated at almost $8 billion and Nova noted on Friday that among the project鈥檚 risks there are potential cost blowouts, increased working capital requirements and liabilities related to long-term logistics contracts.

鈥淚n this context, Kaz Minerals鈥 long-term interests are best served as a private organisation,鈥 Novachuk said.

Shares in Kaz Minerals were up almost 3% to 864p in London on Friday by 1pm local time, leaving the company with a market capitalization of 拢4.1 billion.

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