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Gold price rebounds on Fed鈥檚 new inflation policy

Gold price crawls above $1,800 on US inflation data miss

Image courtesy of Pxfuel.

Gold prices rebounded on Friday from Thursday鈥檚 drop as the US dollar sank with investors weighing the impact of the US Federal Reserve鈥檚 new approach to setting monetary policy.

Spot gold advanced 1.8% to $1,964.89 per ounce by 11:20 a.m. EDT, heading for its first weekly gain since early August. US gold futures were 2.2% higher, trading at $1,975.50 per ounce in New York.

Comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent bullion on a roller-coaster ride in the previous session 鈥 with prices seesawing between a 1% gain and a 2% decline 鈥 after he signaled the central bank will stay accommodative for longer, with a more tolerant approach on inflation.

鈥淭he announcement by Powell that the Fed will likely tolerate some inflation above the 2% target is indicative that monetary policy will remain dovish, which should provide support for gold,鈥 National Australia Bank economist John Sharma told .

鈥淗igher inflation tolerance and low interest rates should see US real yields fall in the medium-to-longer term, which is supportive for gold,鈥 Vivek Dhar, an analyst at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, .

鈥淪till, the fact that the Fed will also act if there are inflationary pressures adds doubt to how high US 10-year inflation expectations can reach,鈥 he added.

Gold traditionally benefits from lower interest rates as they decrease the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar. On Friday, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index sank to its lowest since May 2018.

鈥淕old should continue to advance in most equity-market scenarios,鈥 Mike McGlone, a commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, .

鈥淭he rising stock tide is increasing diversification demand and declining equity prices would encourage more quantitative easing, the primary force supporting the metal.鈥

Mike McGlone, commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence

Ole Hansen, , who had been bullish on gold for most of the year, believes 鈥淔ed鈥檚 shift to let inflation and employment run higher may signal that policy makers will keep interest rates low for years to come, lifting the appeal of non-interest-bearing gold.鈥

鈥淭here鈥檚 still room for bullion to set new all-time highs, although that may take time,鈥 Hansen said.

(With files from Bloomberg and Reuters)

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