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Going soft on hard currencies

… Asian, European markets tank overnight; US stock futures lower on Greece concerns;聽聽IKEA cutting prices…

So that’s the dollar, the Euro, and the franc we’re not parking in. The loonie is sinking too.

Where oh where are we to put our hard earned shekels?

What about the聽world’s ‘other’聽currencies?

We’re told to avoid the Mexican peso, the Thai baht, the Brazilian real – 聽all the other聽so-called tissue paper money. But maybe聽that’s upside down too, along with everything else.聽For example, the聽Brazilian real and the Colombian聽and Chilean pesos only showed an exchange rate variance to the US dollar of between聽0.9 % and聽0.95 %聽in the past six months. Pretty stable if you ask me.聽And look at their growth in GDP — projected to be in the neighbourhood of 4% to 5% this year.聽In聽this race to the bottom among the聽G7 nations,聽the world’s soft currencies are destined to lose, which means聽we’ll see the aforementioned聽pesos skyrocketing. In fact, we already are.聽 Since 2009 the Chilean peso has appreciated by approximately 30 percent! Forget the dollar! 聽I’m buying obscure, multicoloured paper money from the remote corners of the world, Malaysian ringgitts maybe. See? I don’t even know how to spell it!

Seriously, what’s wrong with setting up聽accounts in foreign lands聽in聽local money? You’re not supposed to; you’re supposed to have聽a USD denominated account, A hard currency. But what’s the sense in that?聽If you buy domestic stocks in聽Chile in local currency,聽your profits get returned聽in pesos, so you have a bit of a hedge there;聽and you can throw聽those聽into聽a so-called聽UF (as in ‘oof’) savings聽account offered by Banco Chile, which is basically a dollar/peso pair that acts like a聽cost-averaged mutual fund. It smooths out all the short term fluctuations in the exchange rate with the dollar.

I’m no expert on personal finance so you can take from that what you will. What I do know is聽the聽emerging markets of the world and the G7 are involved in the most stunning reversal of fortunes in living memory, with decent聽GDP growth聽in the former and next to none in Europe and the United States going into the final quarter of 2011.聽The point聽– now is the time to be creative and think outside the box.

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